Sunday is a FOX16 News Severe Weather Alert Day. The strong system that spawned numerous tornadoes across the Plains Saturday will shift East Sunday spreading storms from the Midwest through Arkansas and into parts of Texas and Louisiana
The Storm Prediction Center has issued a SLIGHT risk for most of Arkansas with enhanced threat for especially strong storms capable of producing damaging wind gusts and large hail.
Isolated tornadoes are also possible, however, a widespread tornado outbreak similar to what happened over Oklahoma and Kansas Saturday is unlikely. The storms will approach as a line of storms, rather than individual super-cells. Although the tornado threat may not be particularly high, damaging winds are likely with some of the stronger segments along the line.
As for the timing , the line of storms will move into Western and Northwest Arkansas during the early afternoon hours.
Storms will reach Central Arkansas during the evening hours. Notice how the storms will be arranged along a continuous line, indicating that straight line winds will be the predominant threat.
The main risk for severe weather across Central Arkansas will be between about 5 PM through around Midnight. Our computer model shows the storms moving through the metro area around 9PM, although some of the other models bring the storms through a bit sooner.
Storms will push into Eastern Arkansas late Sunday night into early Monday morning. The storms will tend to weaken as they move East with the loss of daytime heating.