A fast moving cold front will sweep into Arkansas Wednesday Afternoon bringing the risk of some strong to severe thunderstorms. Most of Wednesday will be dry, but storms will begin to fire up along the cold front by late afternoon. Storms should initiate around 4 PM and increase in coverage and intensity through the early evening.
(Computer model projection for 7 PM Wed Oct 17 2012)
The storms will organize into a line as they push Eastward through Eastern and Southeast Arkansas later in the evening. The main threat from the storms will be strong wind gusts, however, a brief large hail and tornado threat may take shape as the storms first begin to intensify over Central Arkansas. The main time frame for the greatest risk of severe weather for Central Arkansas will be between 4 PM and 8 PM, with the severe threat shifting into Eastern and Southeast Arkansas between 8PM and Midnight. The Storm Prediction Center has placed most of Central Arkansas under a SLIGHT risk for severe weather for Wednesday.
(Storm Prediction Center Day 3 Outlook for Wednesday Oct 17th - issued Mon Oct 15)