LITTLE ROCK, Ark.- Thursday 1 PM Update – Our overall severe weather risk continues to lessen for today but is not zero. The eastern third of the state could still see a strong to severe storm or two.
– EARLIER UPDATE –
While much of Spring break week has been forecast to be quiet in the weather department, there were two periods we’ve mentioned that would need some attention.
The first period was Monday night into Tuesday. Thankfully, that only equated to rain and thunder. This next period started overnight and will continue through the day today. A few more ingredients will be in play to allow for a few strong to severe thunderstorms.
Looking at this next period, TWO WAVES of storm activity remain solid in our forecast. The first wave started overnight and will continue through Thursday morning.
In this first wave, the main concern was large hail up to golfball size across southwest Arkansas. We did have two severe thunderstorms that produced some hail. One storm did produce golfball size hail. Nearly all activity overnight and this morning has stayed below severe limits but definitely noisy with frequent lightning and thunder.
Once we reach sunrise on Thursday, we will transition to watching the afternoon hours when another round of severe weather will be possible.
While the main event is forecast to stay east of the state, there will be an opportunity for a few storms as they form over Arkansas to reach severe status before exiting the state.
Area-wise, the E 1/2 of Arkansas will be watched more closely for severe storms during the second wave.
Again, large hail up to golfball size will be the primary concern but strong straight-line wind and a brief tornado cannot be ruled out.
Timing for wave two would from around noon Thursday, lasting no later than 6 PM. As you can see the window for severe weather will be small. This is not going to last into the evening or overnight hours.
For the rest of Thursday, any additional rain after sunrise will likely add anywhere from a quarter to and inch of rain to our overall total.
In all, 1-2″ of rain is forecast which includes the overnight rain activity in addition to anything that occurs after sunrise Thursday.
As we head into the day Thursday, we ask that you think about where you will be during this time while reading this article. At home? Camping?
Wherever you are, make sure that you have multiple ways to receive weather alerts (TV, phone, weather radio) as one option may become unavailable to you. Also, make sure you know where to seek shelter as well if a severe storm heads your way.
The Arkansas Storm Team will be monitoring this situation for you and keep you up-to-date through this article, all of our social platforms, and of course on the air as well.