Around round of storms is set to return to the state on Thursday. Some storms could be strong to severe later in the day Thursday through early Friday.

As of Wednesday, much of the state is under a level 2 risk for severe weather for Thursday. A level 1 risk covers the rest of the state.

Wind and hail are the primary threats. Some flash flooding will be possible with heavy rain. Some spots could see 2-3″+ of rainfall.

Widespread rain of 1-3″ is expected for the majority of the state, with NWA and southeast Arkansas receiving lesser amounts.

The tornado risk is very low at this time but is something the Arkansas Storm Team is monitoring closely.

SPC Outlook for Thursday

The latest model data shows showers and storms developing during the afternoon hours in western Arkansas. These storms will continue to push eastward across the state Thursday evening and night.

The bulk of activity for Little Rock will ramp up closer to 5pm.
Rain should be out the state by early Friday evening, so Friday night plans should be unaffected.

Damaging wind gusts look to be the primary threat Thursday. Large hail will also be possible. The tornado risk is currently very low; however, a quick spin-up or two cannot be ruled out.

Severe risk gauge

Our cold front will lag behind the storms, and slowly move through during the day on Friday. This will continue our shower and thunderstorm chance throughout the afternoon and evening hours on Friday.

The risk for severe weather will be lower on Friday. Showers and storms, for the most part, should stay below severe status.

SPC Outlook for Friday

Sunshine is back for the weekend with cooler temperatures.

Stay with the Arkansas Storm Team for continued updates on our next severe weather chance.