It’s been a wet and warmer than average December so far, but winter is quickly approaching. The official start of Winter is 3:47pm Wednesday, December 21, and temperatures leading up to it are certainly going to feel like it.
Cold and dry air settles in Thursday, December 15 and sticks around for the rest of the month…with even colder weather anticipated heading into Christmas, with mornings dropping to the 20s across central Arkansas then.
Little Rock will stay dry through Sunday, December 18, but a chance for some winter weather arrives Monday.
Some models are pushing for light snow over northwest Arkansas Monday morning and once more Monday night into early Tuesday. Central Arkansas has a chance for some snowflakes Monday morning, including the morning commute into work and school. Any winter weather should transition back to cold rain only by the afternoon and evening as temperatures will warm to above freezing.
Overall, it looks like there won’t be accumulation in central Arkansas, but additional time on the morning commute Monday is advised. Some minor travel issues are possible farther north, where ~1″ of snow could accumulate over higher elevations like the Boston Mountains, Ozarks and Ouachitas. Temperatures will be cold enough in places like Fort Smith, Fayetteville, Mountain Home, Jasper and immediately surrounding areas to see some flakes dust grassy surfaces on the ground.
The chance for the winter weather continues into Tuesday morning for north Arkansas based off the latest models. The one pointing toward snow is the GFS (Global Forecast System), and will likely alter some since we are still several days out from the forecast snow event.
BONUS SNOW: There is a hint of another low snow chance Thursday, December 22. This event is still too far out as of now, so confidence is not quite there yet to get into details.
We need moisture and cold weather for snow. The cold weather will be present, so it all comes down to how much moisture we will deal with in the next two weeks. Stay with the Arkansas Storm Team for the latest updates.